Opinion Polling On The United Kingdom's Membership Of The European Union (2016–2020)
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Following the
referendum A referendum (plural: referendums or less commonly referenda) is a direct vote by the electorate on a proposal, law, or political issue. This is in contrast to an issue being voted on by a representative. This may result in the adoption of a ...
in the
United Kingdom The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, commonly known as the United Kingdom (UK) or Britain, is a country in Europe, off the north-western coast of the continental mainland. It comprises England, Scotland, Wales and North ...
on its membership of the
European Union The European Union (EU) is a supranational political and economic union of member states that are located primarily in Europe. The union has a total area of and an estimated total population of about 447million. The EU has often been des ...
on 23 June 2016, polling companies continued to use standard questions in order to gauge public opinion on the country's relationship with the EU.


Right/wrong

Following the EU referendum, there have been numerous opinion polls on the question of whether the UK was 'right' or 'wrong' to vote to leave the EU. The results of these polls are shown in the table below.


Selective polling


Remain/leave

There have also been polls to gauge support for remaining in or leaving the EU. The following polls, unless the notes state otherwise, asked how respondents would vote in a second referendum.


Selective polling


Three-option referendum

On 6 July 2018, the UK Cabinet agreed a statement at
Chequers Chequers ( ), or Chequers Court, is the country house of the Prime Minister of the United Kingdom. A 16th-century manor house in origin, it is located near the village of Ellesborough, halfway between Princes Risborough and Wendover in Bucking ...
that set out a proposal for
the future relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union The Chequers plan, officially known as ''The future relationship between the United Kingdom and the European Union (Cm 9593)'', was a UK Government white paper concerning Brexit, published on 12July 2018 by the Prime Minister of the United King ...
, following which two members of the Cabinet resigned. On 16 July 2018 the former Education Secretary
Justine Greening Justine Greening (born 30 April 1969) is a British politician who served as Secretary of State for Education from 2016 to 2018. Prior to that, she served as Economic Secretary to the Treasury from 2010 to 2011, Secretary of State for Transport ...
noted the lack of a political consensus behind the Chequers proposal and said that, due to a 'stalemate' in the House of Commons, the issue of Brexit should be referred back to the electorate. She proposed a referendum with three options: to leave the EU on such terms as might be agreed between the UK Government and the EU 27; to leave the EU without agreed terms; or to remain in the EU. Voters would be asked to mark a first and second preference using the supplementary vote system. If there were no majority for any particular option among first-preference votes, the third-placed option would be eliminated and second preferences would be used to determine the winner from the two remaining options. The following table shows opinion polls that have been conducted on how people would vote in a three-option referendum. The table shows the poll results for a first round in which all three options would be available, and for a second round in which only the top two options in the first round would be available.


Selective polling


Four-option referendum

Some polls have offered respondents a choice between remaining in the EU, leaving the EU but remaining within the European Single Market or
EU Customs Union The European Union Customs Union (EUCU), formally known as the Community Customs Union, is a customs union which consists of all the member states of the European Union (EU), Monaco, and the British Overseas Territory of Akrotiri and Dhekel ...
(see notes), accepting the negotiated deal and leaving without a deal.


Support for a second referendum

There have been opinion polls to gauge support for a second referendum, on whether to accept or reject the final Brexit deal. Polling results vary depending on how the question is phrased: in general a "second referendum" is less popular than a "public vote" or similar descriptor. One
YouGov YouGov is a British international Internet-based market research and data analytics firm, headquartered in the UK, with operations in Europe, North America, the Middle East and Asia-Pacific. In 2007, it acquired US company Polimetrix, and sinc ...
poll conducted in April 2018 for
Best for Britain Best for Britain is a civil society campaign, launched on 26 April 2017, to stop Brexit and continue the UK's membership of the European Union (EU). Since 2021, the organisation's aim has changed to encourage greater internationalism rather tha ...
showed much greater support for the public ''" avinga final say on whether Britain accepts the deal or remains in the EU after all"'' than for ''"a public vote"'' on the same question.


Selective polling


On the UK rejoining the EU

Some polls conducted prior to the UK's formal exit worded the question as whether to rejoin rather than stay in the EU.


See also

*
Opinion polling on the United Kingdom rejoining the European Union (2020–present) Following the United Kingdom's formal exit from the European Union at the end of January 2020, polling organisations have conducted surveys to gauge public opinion on rejoining the organisation. Graphical summary The chart below shows opinion ...
*
Opinion polling for the 2019 United Kingdom general election Prior to the 2019 United Kingdom general election, various organisations carried out opinion polling to gauge voting intentions. Results of such polls are displayed in this list. Most of the pollsters listed are members of the British Polling ...
*
Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election is continually being carried out by various organisations to gauge voting intention. Most of the polling companies listed are members of the British Polling Council (BPC) and abide b ...
* Opinion polling for the 2019 European Parliament election in the United Kingdom


References


External links


EURef2 Poll of Polls
— ''What UK Thinks'' {{DEFAULTSORT:Opinion polling on the United Kingdom's membership of the European Union (2016-2020)
United Kingdom The United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland, commonly known as the United Kingdom (UK) or Britain, is a country in Europe, off the north-western coast of the continental mainland. It comprises England, Scotland, Wales and North ...
European Union membership Brexit